ADI analyzed metallurgical and thermal coal demand using industrial activity, steelmaking technology, and power‑generation economics. Regional import dependence and trade flows were evaluated across demand scenarios. Downside risk from fuel substitution and policy intervention was explicitly tested.
The client
North American coal miner
The situation
High uncertainty in long‑term coal demand
ADI’s contributions
Demand driver decomposition
Industrial and energy drivers were linked to coal demand.
Trade flow mapping
Import‑export dependencies were assessed by region.
Scenario range testing
Demand was stress‑tested under multiple outcomes.
Technology shift impacts
EAF adoption and generation mix changes were evaluated.
Key outcomes
- Improved regional demand and exposure planning
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