Critical minerals disruption scenario analysis

ADI developed disruption scenarios for priority critical minerals covering access risk, price volatility, and cost pass‑through. Scenario probability and impact were evaluated using policy signals, historical precedents, and supply concentration indicators. Trade‑offs between near‑term mitigation and longer‑term structural options were assessed.

Integrated energy company

Exposure to policy‑driven supply disruptions

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ADI built structured access and price disruption scenarios.

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Likelihood was evaluated using policy and market indicators.

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Diversification and substitution options were assessed.

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Early warning indicators were defined for monitoring.

  • Informed mitigation pathways and monitoring priorities
Client Results
ADI utilizes a data-driven process. They use primary and secondary research to verify data, which made our decision-making much easier.
David Austgen CEO, Earth Energy Renewables

Industry experience

Mining chemicals market and M&A analysis

ADI conducted a global assessment of mining chemicals demand tied to ore degradation, processing pathways, and energy‑transition metal demand. The work translated ore production, flotation routes, and reagent dosage rates into mineral‑level market sizing through 2030 while testing sensitivity to commoditization and regulatory pressure. ADI evaluated trade‑offs between volume growth and pricing erosion to support […]

Critical minerals supply risk assessment

ADI assessed supply‑chain exposure by mapping industrial materials to underlying critical minerals using asset‑level mining and refining data. Geographic concentration, fungibility, and business consequence were applied to narrow priority risks. The analysis addressed constraints on substitution and short‑term mitigation under geopolitical uncertainty. The client Integrated energy company The situation Limited visibility into mineral supply exposure […]

Direct lithium extraction technology assessment

ADI evaluated direct lithium extraction routes across adsorption, ion‑exchange, and solvent‑based systems using performance and cost considerations. Pilot‑scale maturity, brine characteristics, and downstream integration constraints were assessed against U.S. policy incentives. Trade‑offs between recovery efficiency and scalability were explicitly tested. The client Energy technology developer The situation Commercial readiness of DLE pathways unclear ADI’s contributions […]

Global coal demand and trade flow analysis

ADI analyzed metallurgical and thermal coal demand using industrial activity, steelmaking technology, and power‑generation economics. Regional import dependence and trade flows were evaluated across demand scenarios. Downside risk from fuel substitution and policy intervention was explicitly tested. The client North American coal miner The situation High uncertainty in long‑term coal demand ADI’s contributions Demand driver […]

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Implications of UAE’s exit from OPEC

Part of ADI Analytics’ ongoing coverage of the implications of the Iran conflict across oil & gas, LNG, refined products, and chemicals. The UAE’s exit from OPEC (see our prior blog) in late April 2026 reflects a decisive shift toward a volume‑driven strategy focused on monetizing its hydrocarbon resource base ahead of the global energy […]

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Why did the UAE leave OPEC?

Part of ADI Analytics’ ongoing coverage of the implications of the Iran conflict across oil & gas, LNG, refined products, and chemicals. On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) announced it was quitting the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), the producer group created in 1960 to coordinate and unify petroleum supply […]

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Newsletter: Why oil may fall back to the $60s by end‑2026

In the May 2026 edition, ADI examines why oil prices, lifted by Iran-related risks, are expected to ease back into the sixty-dollar range as fundamentals reassert, while helium markets tighten amid Middle East disruptions and Russian export limits. At the same time, SLB’s acquisition of S&P Global’s upstream software highlights accelerating digital momentum, as rising […]