Natural gas and LNG

Natural gas and LNG are entering a demand supercycle that infrastructure and contracting models are not yet built to serve.

Energy security concerns, rising demand across power generation, industrial, and transportation sectors, and the fuel’s role in the energy transition are expanding the addressable market for natural gas and LNG well through 2050.

ADI Analytics works with shale independents, oil majors, LNG exporters, midstream players, NOCs, and equipment and technology providers — from wellhead to export terminal — to make better decisions on markets, assets, technologies, and transactions.

What keeps natural gas and LNG leaders up at night

North American shale supply is growing as gas-oil ratios increase in maturing basins and newer plays like Haynesville expand. Midstream infrastructure — gathering, processing, and fractionation — is not keeping pace with that growth.

LNG contracting is shifting toward more commoditized arrangements, compressing the margin certainty that large-scale export projects require to reach FID. Operators and exporters face additional pressure to eliminate flaring and reduce fugitive emissions, adding cost and operational complexity that affects project economics and social license.

Demand growth across power generation, chemicals, industrial, and transportation sectors is creating new market entry opportunities for small-scale LNG and CNG applications. Each requires granular analysis of regional infrastructure constraints, fuel-switching economics, and pricing dynamics at national, international, and hub levels.

Policy and regulatory uncertainty around emissions, permitting, and gas utilization is adding risk to long-lead capital commitments. Long-lead LNG investment decisions made on today’s demand assumptions and contracting structures carry execution risk that did not exist when the current wave of export capacity was sanctioned.

Who we are

Natural gas and LNG advisory, built on 15+ years and 1,000+ projects. ADI has worked across every segment of the gas value chain — upstream supply and shale gas economics, midstream gathering and processing, liquefaction project assessment, trade flow analysis, and end-use demand across power, industrial, and transportation sectors.

What clients engage us to do

Forecast and size natural gas and LNG markets

Supply assessments from global and regional levels down to asset and well levels; demand analysis covering exports, power generation, chemical and industrial sectors, CNG and LNG transportation, residential and commercial use, and emerging technologies; pricing and trade flow analysis at national, international, and regional trading hubs; and total addressable market sizing and segmentation for equipment, technology, and service suppliers.

Assess project and asset economics across the value chain

Cost estimates and breakdowns at regional, asset, and process and technology levels for the entire gas value chain, including feasibility studies to assess the financial and economic returns and competitiveness of new and existing plants, assets, infrastructure, and capital projects — from upstream gathering through liquefaction and regasification.

Build corporate and portfolio strategy

Corporate strategy, business planning, and portfolio optimization at company, business unit, and asset levels; innovation strategy, technology assessments, R&D planning, and portfolio audits; and go-to-market strategy and competitive positioning for producers, midstream operators, LNG exporters, equipment providers, and technology companies serving the gas sector.

Support transactions across the gas value chain

M&A advisory including opportunity and target scouting, technical and commercial due diligence, plant tours, and customer interviews for operators, equipment providers, and service companies — covering assets from upstream gas production and midstream infrastructure through LNG terminals and small-scale distribution systems.

For organizations seeking rapid access to market intelligence, ADI’s Bulk liquid storage is shifting from capacity to capability article helps clients evaluate liquid bulk storage trends, infrastructure investments, terminal optimization strategies, and competitive dynamics across energy and chemicals markets.


Industry experience

Competitive benchmarking for gas processing plant vendor

ADI Analytics conducted a competitive benchmarking study for a gas processing plant vendor using extensive voice-of-customer research to uncover trends, evaluate competitors, and inform strategic decisions. The client A vendor of gas processing plants seeking to better understand customer perceptions, competitive dynamics, and market trends. The situation The client wanted to assess its competitive positioning […]

LNG sourcing strategy and oil price outlook

ADI Analytics assessed LNG sourcing options and market dynamics to support an oil company’s evaluation of LNG for steam generation within its operations. The client A national oil company evaluating LNG sourcing strategies and deal structures to support internal energy needs. The situation The client sought to understand the cost and strategic implications of using […]

Fuel-switching analysis

ADI’s analysis evaluates the opportunity for an oil and gas company to enhance its operations by switching its fuel source. The client An oil and gas company that is evaluating a fuel-switching opportunity to power its operations. The situation The company is considering using LNG to produce steam instead of using a third of its […]

Cryogenic equipment market outlook

This assessment forecasted global demand for cryogenic heat exchangers and pumps across LNG, CCUS, and hydrogen liquefaction applications. ADI evaluated the cyclical nature of large-scale LNG capex alongside the rapid scale-up of blue hydrogen projects that rely on cryogenic CO2​ separation. The work assessed the role of high-efficiency coil-wound exchangers and brazed aluminum designs for […]

Fuel switching analysis and LNG valuation

ADI evaluated the commercial viability of replacing heavy oil with LNG for industrial steam production in isolated mining and oil and gas operations. The study established the crude oil price thresholds required for fuel-switching profitability and analyzed the global cost of delivering LNG from multiple supply hubs. Technical assessments included evaluating the potential for carbon […]

Industrial natural gas demand and price sensitivity

ADI quantified the price elasticity of industrial natural gas use, distinguishing between fuel and feedstock applications in the petrochemical and refining sectors. The research highlighted significant operational constraints which limit the short-term capability of plants to switch to alternative fuels. By modeling product price indexing for methanol and ammonia, ADI demonstrated how producers mitigate margin […]

LNG market opportunities in the Philippines

ADI analyzed the transition from domestic gas production to LNG imports in the Philippines to address energy security and decarbonization goals. The study benchmarked the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for gas-fired combined-cycle plants against coal-based generation, accounting for the environmental costs of emissions. Modeled delivered ex-ship (DES) costs from U.S. export hubs to demonstrate […]

Medium-scale LNG bunkering plant due diligence

ADI conducted a technical and commercial risk assessment of a proposed waterfront LNG facility, focusing on EPCM strategy and marine integration. The work identified critical FEL-3 gaps, including scope exclusions in storage tank quotes and misalignments between piping layouts and plot plans. Rigorous analysis of the bunkering barge cycle times highlighted operational vulnerabilities related to […]

Midstream asset commercial strategy and economics

ADI assessed the market value of natural gas and hydrogen storage assets near the U.S. Gulf Coast through a detailed analysis of regional pipeline interconnects and seasonal spreads. The work evaluated the premium commanded by high-deliverability salt caverns and the technical constraints of repurposing infrastructure for hydrogen. The client Natural gas midstream operator The situation […]

Reciprocating compressor market strategy and outlook

ADI modeled the global reciprocating compressor market segmented by speed across the oil and gas value chain. The research addressed the impact of LNG carrier fleets availability and shifting marine fuel regulations on boil-off gas handling. Strategic analysis focused on the recurring revenue potential of aftermarket services. The client Private equity firm The situation High […]

Shale gas monetization and benchmarking

This study benchmarked various monetization options for shale gas, quantifying the oil-to-gas price ratios required to achieve target investment returns. ADI evaluated the competitive positioning of LNG, gas-to-liquids (GTL), and methanol-to-gasoline (MTG) across major North American gas hubs. The analysis highlighted how regional differences in capital intensity and feedstock accessibility vary across the U.S. Gulf […]

Small-scale LNG and steam methane reforming market assessment

To assess market entry potential for modular energy systems, ADI evaluated the deployment of small-scale LNG (ssLNG) and Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) for industrial and transportation applications. The research addressed infrastructure constraints in off-grid regions and evaluated the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of modular gas systems against traditional diesel power. Competitive analysis included a […]

Small-scale LNG in U.S. shale plays

ADI gathered and analyzed commercial data for small-scale LNG and CNG applications across the Bakken, Permian, and Marcellus plays. The research quantified compression costs, liq\uefaction fees, and trucking rates to define current market margins for midstream operators. Strategic implications focused on the infrastructure lag in these plays, creating arbitrage opportunities for mobile fuel delivery to […]

Small-scale LNG market opportunities in Central and Eastern Europe

This study evaluated the penetration of small-scale LNG across 15 countries in Central and Eastern Europe, focusing on heavy-duty trucking and marine bunkering. ADI identified critical infrastructure constraints at regasification terminals, such as the lack of break-bulk and truck-loading services, while modeling the fuel-switching economics against high-tax regional diesel. The analysis prioritized regional investments based […]

Small-scale methanol technology assessment

ADI performed an independent assessment of the technical and economic viability of modular methanol plants in North American shale basins. Research explored the cost arbitrage of converting flared or stranded gas into liquid chemical products across a wide range of feedstock pricing. Analysis identified critical risks in process scale-up and the competitive impact of U.S. […]

Turbomachinery specialty controls market assessment

To evaluate market positioning for specialty turbomachinery controls, ADI analyzed demand drivers across LNG export terminals, FPSOs, and ethylene crackers. The study assessed the reliability trade-offs between OEM-standard controls and independent anti-surge systems in greenfield versus brownfield projects. Primary research with rotating equipment specialists highlighted factors impacting operational risk during commissioning. The client Private equity […]

Client Results
The team at ADI was extremely professional, it was a very thorough analysis, they have a lot of expertise in the natural gas space.
Vikki Dunn VP, Gardner Denver

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