Scenario planning and war gaming

Preparing for market uncertainty and building corporate resilience across oil & gas, energy, and chemicals

Navigating fast-moving trends across oil & gas, energy, and chemicals requires exploring multiple futures and building flexible, adaptive corporate strategies. ADI Analytics guides long-term planning by combining proprietary scenario models with deep sector insights to convert macroeconomic changes into clear strategic pathways. We help executive leadership teams evaluate competitive risks and make robust choices that insulate operations from volatile market disruptions.

Anticipate macroeconomic shifts. Model diverse energy supply, demand, and pricing scenarios and execute detailed geopolitical risk modeling to protect global assets from regulatory variations and shifting supply chain vulnerabilities.

Insulate strategic choices. Perform rigorous strategy stress-testing and structured corporate war gaming to uncover potential blind spots and run a comprehensive uncertainty analysis on long-term capital allocations.

Optimize asset readiness. Evaluate near-term commercial constraints through tailored operational scenarios and execute objective decision analysis to ensure infrastructure investments remain profitable under changing market conditions.

Transform challenges into opportunities with ADI

Work with ADI

Experience

Upstream portfolio review for national oil company

ADI Analytics led a two-phase project to support a national oil company’s review of its upstream portfolio, covering conventional, unconventional, offshore, and oil sands assets. The client A national oil company reviewing and reshaping its upstream asset portfolio. The situation The client needed a structured approach to evaluate existing assets, define a target portfolio under […]

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Shale gas strategy development for E&P player

ADI Analytics supported a leading exploration and production (E&P) independent in developing its shale gas strategy, including organizational design, process development, and opportunity evaluation. The client A leading independent E&P company pursuing entry into shale gas. The situation The client needed to establish a strategic foundation, processes, and organization to enter and scale up operations […]

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AI and data center energy impacts workshop

ADI structured and led a workshop examining how AI‑driven data center growth translates into power demand, infrastructure strain, and planning risk. Insights were synthesized from utilities, hyperscalers, OEMs, and developers to assess demand magnitude, geographic concentration, and timing relative to transmission and permitting constraints. The analysis framed implications for fuel mix, grid investment sequencing, and […]

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Critical minerals disruption scenario analysis

ADI developed disruption scenarios for priority critical minerals covering access risk, price volatility, and cost pass‑through. Scenario probability and impact were evaluated using policy signals, historical precedents, and supply concentration indicators. Trade‑offs between near‑term mitigation and longer‑term structural options were assessed. The client Integrated energy company The situation Exposure to policy‑driven supply disruptions ADI’s contributions […]

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Global energy transition digital spend outlook

ADI assessed a global energy transition capital spend and outlook through 2050, identifying the addressable market for digital technologies. The study analyzed how the shift toward fragmented, low-carbon infrastructure will impact the need for digital integration across intermittent renewables and energy storage systems. Modeling surfaced critical factors that will dictate the pace of digital adoption. […]

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What We Do

More consulting services

ADI offers a wide range of consulting services to help clients assess markets, develop strategy, address uncertainty, optimize operations, and strengthen corporate functions, leveraging propriety data, models, analytics, and insightful research reports.

Client Results
ADI helped us with where to focus with our activities.
Marcos Gomez Director, Renewable Energy, BASF

Insights

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Catching up to China on critical minerals

The U.S. government is spending real money on critical minerals right now. On August 7, 2026, the Department of Energy launched a $100 million program to train more mining engineers. It’s one of several moves happening at the same time, alongside price guarantees, tariffs, and new sourcing rules. None of it changes the basic picture: […]

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Middle East conflict’s fallout more limited than expected

Part of ADI Analytics’ ongoing coverage of the implications of the Iran conflict across oil & gas, LNG, refined products, and chemicals. Analysts have been quick to predict permanently altered LNG trade flows, structurally different chemical markets, and a new global energy order following the Iran conflict. Several months into the conflict, the evidence points […]

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Japan vs. South Korea: SAF projects diverge

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