Sustainable aviation fuel technology and supply outlook

ADI explored the recovery of global jet fuel demand post-COVID-19. The study analyzed seven ASTM-approved SAF pathways to identify the pathway that will dominate supply and/or offer the greatest decarbonization potential over the long term. Cost analysis was conducted to assess drivers of SAF costs compared to conventional jet fuel.

The client

Venture capital firm

The situation

Decision risk associated with the timing of jet fuel demand recovery and the economic viability of SAF production pathways.

ADI’s contributions

Contribution icon 1

Lifecycle emission analysis

Evaluated the GHG intensity of SAF pathways (HEFA, ATJ, PtL) against conventional jet fuel to determine carbon value.

Contribution icon 2

Feedstock availability modeling

Quantified the available waste and advanced feedstocks to assess supply constraints for SAF scaling.

Contribution icon 3

ASTM approval pathway review

Detailed the four-tier D4054 approval process and blend limits for seven commercial and pilot-stage SAF technologies.

Contribution icon 4

Policy and credit impact analysis

Modeled the financial impact of LCFS, RINs, and EU mandates on the breakeven economics of various SAF production routes.

Key outcomes

  • Prioritization of feedstock-diverse processes and refiner co-processing to meet emerging regulatory mandates.
Client Results
ADI utilizes a data-driven process. They use primary and secondary research to verify data, which made our decision-making much easier.
David Austgen CEO, Earth Energy Renewables

Industry experience

CO2 conversion pathways techno-economic assessment

ADI prioritized nine CO2​-to-value pathways, ranging from carbon mineralization for cement to electrochemical routes for circular fuels. The work assessed the energy intensity and technology readiness of photocatalysis and chemo-enzymatic conversion. Analytical modeling of breakeven costs was conducted to identify the most commercially attractive products in the near-term. The client Global investment firm The situation […]

Read now

Corrosion monitoring technology assessment

This assessment by ADI evaluated a fixed, wireless sensor network designed for continuous corrosion monitoring across hazardous upstream, refining, and chemical assets. Analytical modeling incorporated scale-driven reductions to project revenue over a 10-year period. The study surfaced trade-offs between system mobility and the high installation costs of competing fiber optic or electrical resistance probes. The […]

Read now

Hydrogen electrolyzer cost benchmarking and outlook

ADI assessed the cost competitiveness of alkaline, proton exchange membrane (PEM), and solid oxide electrolyzer cell (SOEC) electrolyzers, focusing on the capex variations globally. The work detailed the cost outlook of stack components like bipolar plates and catalyst-coated membranes over a 10-year period. Levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) modeling was used to demonstrate variations in […]

Read now

Large stand-off magnetometry (LSM) market assessment

ADI conducted detailed market research for a non-destructive testing (NDT) technology, analyzing its application in difficult-to-pig subsea flowlines. The work evaluated the competitive landscape between established tools like pulsed eddy current and startups using magnetometry tomographic methods. Global asset growth rates and ROV inspection speeds were modeled to estimate a market size and develop an […]

Read now

Low-carbon cement technology and start-up landscape

This study assessed 11 early-stage startups and five decarbonization pathways, including CCUS and clinker substitution, to reach net-zero cement by 2050. ADI modeled CO2​ reduction costs, technology readiness, commercial maturity, adoption outlook, and growth potential across North America and Europe. The client Venture capital firm The situation Strategic ambiguity regarding which low-carbon cement technologies to […]

Read now

U.S. upstream oil and gas production IoT market

ADI evaluated the adoption of predictive analytics and IIoT offerings among independent North American operators. The research identified factors impacting adoption and growth and critical solutions to drive adoption in high-producing assets. The client Venture capital firm The situation Need to discern between re-branded automation products and differentiated, value-added IIoT offerings for investment. ADI’s contributions […]

Read now

More insights

Browse all insights
lng costs and schedule risks
Article Icon Article

What EQT–Range means for gas prices

On October 26, 2026, EQT Corporation agreed to buy Range Resources, both Appalachian gas producers, in an all-stock deal valued at $13.84 billion. The combined company produces over 9 billion cubic feet of gas equivalent per day (Bcfe/d), the most of any U.S. gas producer. ADI Analytics’ analysis of how this might impact the outlook […]

Read now
mcs water risks
Multi-client studies Icon Multi-client studies

Water limits reshape oil & gas, power, and chemical operations

Water now sets operating limits in three industries ADI covers. Permian produced water volumes rose from 11.2 million bbl/d in 2017 to 24.9 million bbl/d in 2025, and regulators have restricted the disposal wells that take most of it. Refineries and chemical plants on the Texas Gulf Coast and the Rhine face allocation plans and […]

Read now
natural gas pipeline winding through a landscape
Premium content Icon Premium content

Trends shaping the U.S. midstream outlook

I recently had the opportunity to share ADI’s latest research on the U.S. midstream oil and gas industry at the 10th Annual OCTG & Line Pipe Forecast Summit. My presentation explored how oil and gas production growth, LNG export expansion, and increasing power demand are driving a new wave of midstream investment. As illustrated in […]

Read now
Browse all insights