ADI evaluated the global refining and petrochemical spend to determine market entry strategies for specialty maintenance services and equipment. The assessment addressed regional capacity shifts, specifically the transition from European asset closures to massive integrated complexes in Asia and the Middle East. Strategic planning focused on the trade-offs between routine turnaround services and large-scale modernization projects driven by clean fuel regulations.
The client
Private equity and industrial equipment providers
The situation
Uncertainty concerning the geographic distribution of refining investments and the impact of the energy transition on OPEX.
ADI’s contributions
Regional capacity forecasting
ADI modeled distillation and conversion unit additions over a 10-year period across 10 global regions.
Maintenance intensity modeling
Analysis of unit complexity and age established spend-per-barrel benchmarks for routine and turnaround events.
Regulatory driver analysis
Assessment of clean fuel mandates quantified the capital requirements for hydrotreating and sulfur recovery upgrades.
Strategic segment filtering
Identification of mission-critical equipment categories, such as high-pressure reactors and compressors, for targeted growth.
Key outcomes
Prioritization of maintenance service investments globally.
Client Results
We engaged ADI for a broad market research project in the EV EPC space. With their deep market knowledge and access to the right experts, ADI delivered very successful projects.
ADI supported investment due diligence by assessing the market outlook for refinery turnaround (TAR) and maintenance services. Primary research involved interviews with major U.S. Gulf Coast operators to validate job pipelines and post-pandemic labor cost escalations. The work included site-specific unit outage forecasts with regional spending trends and assessing competitive margins. The client Private equity […]
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ADI evaluated the global addressable market for an outsourced sulfur recovery business model, assuming complete operational responsibility for sulfur recovery units (SRUs) and downstream sulfur marketing. The work modeled adoption rates across the U.S., Europe, and the Middle East, specifically quantifying the recurring revenue potential of tapping high fertilizer demand. Analysis focused on the critical […]
ADI explored the recovery of global jet fuel demand post-COVID-19. The study analyzed seven ASTM-approved SAF pathways to identify the pathway that will dominate supply and/or offer the greatest decarbonization potential over the long term. Cost analysis was conducted to assess drivers of SAF costs compared to conventional jet fuel. The client Venture capital firm […]
ADI forecasted the growth of U.S. fuel exports to Latin America by analyzing regional macroeconomics, vehicle fleet dynamics, and biofuel blending mandates. The study identified structural supply gaps in Latin America and the analysis focused on evaluating the cost-competitiveness of U.S. refiners in meeting stringent new low-sulfur fuel regulations across the region. The client Multi-client […]
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ADI evaluated the water management value chain within U.S. refineries, focusing on sourcing constraints, pre-treatment needs, and wastewater reuse technologies. The assessment benchmarked the lifecycle costs of primary and secondary treatment while identifying technical barriers to advanced membrane and zero liquid discharge systems. The study highlighted the growing water stress in basins and the resulting […]
The EPA’s recently finalized Renewable Volume Obligations (RVOs) for 2026–2027 raise Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) mandates to record levels, marking a step-change in required blending volumes. This shift increases demand across the system and leaves less buffer between required volumes and available supply, tightening overall market conditions. Key dynamics shaping supply requirements: These dynamics suggest […]
The midstream sector in the first half of 2026 is moving at a breakneck pace, driven by a strategic pivot toward “wellhead-to-water” natural gas liquid (NGL) integration, severe high-horsepower compression supply-chain constraints, and a massive power-generation super-cycle spurred by AI data center expansion. Rather than relying on speculative mega-projects, major pipeline operators are maximizing fee-based […]