ADI evaluated the global refining and petrochemical spend to determine market entry strategies for specialty maintenance services and equipment. The assessment addressed regional capacity shifts, specifically the transition from European asset closures to massive integrated complexes in Asia and the Middle East. Strategic planning focused on the trade-offs between routine turnaround services and large-scale modernization projects driven by clean fuel regulations.
The client
Private equity and industrial equipment providers
The situation
Uncertainty concerning the geographic distribution of refining investments and the impact of the energy transition on OPEX.
ADI’s contributions
Regional capacity forecasting
ADI modeled distillation and conversion unit additions over a 10-year period across 10 global regions.
Maintenance intensity modeling
Analysis of unit complexity and age established spend-per-barrel benchmarks for routine and turnaround events.
Regulatory driver analysis
Assessment of clean fuel mandates quantified the capital requirements for hydrotreating and sulfur recovery upgrades.
Strategic segment filtering
Identification of mission-critical equipment categories, such as high-pressure reactors and compressors, for targeted growth.
Key outcomes
- Prioritization of maintenance service investments globally.
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