ADI prioritized nine CO2​-to-value pathways, ranging from carbon mineralization for cement to electrochemical routes for circular fuels. The work assessed the energy intensity and technology readiness of photocatalysis and chemo-enzymatic conversion. Analytical modeling of breakeven costs was conducted to identify the most commercially attractive products in the near-term.
The client
Global investment firm
The situation
Uncertainty over which CO2​ conversion technologies offer the best combination of technical feasibility and market materiality.
ADI’s contributions
Technical feasibility screening
Compared pathways using thermodynamic properties, energy intensity (kWh/kg), and single-pass conversion rates.
Market materiality analysis
Quantified the global market size for platform chemicals like methane, methanol, and ethylene produced from CO2​.
Startup competitive landscaping
Profiled the positioning of 11 startups and large players like Siemens in the catalytic and biological conversion sectors.
Energy-to-product modeling
Modeled the sensitivity of carbon neutrality to the origin of power resources and optimization of electrochemical processes.
Key outcomes
- Prioritization of mineralization and thermochemical pathways for immediate investment based on market size and scalability.
More insights
2026 June SAF Tracker highlights – #88
Here are the latest highlights from ADI’s SAF Tracker: The full newsletter along with archives and databases are available to SAF Tracker subscribers.
Utility capital projects & 2026 energy trends
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U.S. refining capacity is gradually consolidating into larger, more complex facilities
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