Industry: Energy Transition

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Record RFS mandates strain biofuel supplies

The EPA’s recently finalized Renewable Volume Obligations (RVOs) for 2026–2027 raise Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) mandates to record levels, marking a step-change in required blending volumes. This shift increases demand across the system and leaves less buffer between required volumes and available supply, tightening overall market conditions. Key dynamics shaping supply requirements: These dynamics suggest […]

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ADI’s global blue ammonia projects database

The global blue ammonia market is rapidly expanding, driven by increasingly stringent decarbonization policies and regulations that promote the production and adoption of low-carbon ammonia. Examples include the European Union’s (EU) Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which incentivizes low-carbon ammonia production by imposing a carbon cost on imports based on their embedded emissions. Besides, the […]

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2026 May SAF Tracker highlights – #86

The global SAF market is accelerating as capital, technology, and policy move in sync. ENOC is advancing long-term offtake in the Middle East, NorSAF is scaling Latvian capacity with KBR’s PureSAF, and Brazil is surging with a $1 billion Petrobras-led project nearing FID alongside Acelen’s $1.5 billion refinery financing. Technology rollout is consolidating as Axens […]

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Newsletter: Data center power, ammonia, and biofuel mandates

In the June 2026 edition, AI-driven demand is surging, but constraints in grid capacity, permitting, and equipment supply are reshaping how and where data centers expand. Developers are increasingly embedding power considerations into site selection, shifting toward distributed infrastructure models and prioritizing regions with faster, more reliable access to electricity. As power availability becomes a […]

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IMO’s safety guidelines pave the way for ammonia-fueled ships

Ammonia has increasingly emerged as a potential low-carbon marine fuel to support decarbonization in the maritime sector due to its carbon-free combustion profile. However, compared to methanol, ammonia has lagged behind in commercial adoption as a low-carbon marine fuel. This is primarily due to its toxicity, which requires more complex storage and handling systems, as […]

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Biofuels in a tight 2026–2027 RFS market

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) recently finalized the Renewable Volume Obligations (RVO) for 2026 and 2027, establishing the highest blending mandates in the history of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) program (see Exhibit 1). The RFS requires oil refiners (“obligated parties”) to blend specific volumes of renewable fuels into the U.S. transportation fuel supply […]

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How is SAF faring in 2026 so far?

ADI has published nine editions of our semi-monthly newsletter, SAF Tracker, so far in 2026 covering trends across SAF demand, supply, pricing, technology, feedstocks, investments, and regulations. Stepping back from the cadence of biweekly reporting, we found ourselves asking a broader question: what are the high-level trends shaping the SAF landscape this year? Our analysis […]

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2026 May SAF Tracker highlights – #85

The global SAF market is moving at a breakneck pace, with three continents launching massive infrastructure and funding plays simultaneously. From Mexico kickstarting its first physical blending pilot this year and China establishing its first complete Greater Bay Area supply chain, to LanzaTech securing Belgium for Europe’s debut commercial Alcohol-to-Jet facility, the momentum is undeniable. […]

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CBAM puts a new price tag on emissions

On April 7, 2026, the European Commission announced the first official Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) certificate price for Q1 2026 at €75.36 per tonne of CO2 equivalent (~$88/t CO2e), marking the EU’s first explicit carbon price applied to imported goods. This rate will be applied to the embedded emissions in CBAM-covered imports and is […]

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2026 April SAF Tracker highlights – #83

Developments include SABA selecting Infinium’s Project Atlas for SAF certificate supply, new strategic partnerships such as XCF Global and BGN to scale production and distribution, and technology advancements like Gevo’s ethanol-to-olefins catalysts. Project activity is also expanding globally, with Phelan eFuels advancing an eSAF facility in South Africa and Velocys partnering to develop biomass-to-SAF projects […]

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Jet fuel dislocation from the Iran conflict — and implications for SAF

Part of ADI Analytics’ ongoing coverage of the implications of the Iran conflict across oil & gas, LNG, refined products, and chemicals. Jet fuel markets experienced a sharp and localized dislocation following recent geopolitical disruptions, with price movements far exceeding changes in crude benchmarks. The episode has highlighted how exposed aviation fuel economics remain to refining capacity, logistics, […]