ADI analyzed the transition from domestic gas production to LNG imports in the Philippines to address energy security and decarbonization goals. The study benchmarked the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for gas-fired combined-cycle plants against coal-based generation, accounting for the environmental costs of emissions. Modeled delivered ex-ship (DES) costs from U.S. export hubs to demonstrate the viability of Henry Hub-indexed pricing for regional price stability.
The client
International development agency
The situation
Approaching depletion of domestic gas reserves creating a critical need for regasification infrastructure and fuel procurement strategies.
ADI’s contributions
Comparative LCOE modeling
ADI demonstrated that gas-based power generation offers significantly lower lifecycle costs than coal when capture technologies are required.
Pricing indexation analysis
Comparison of oil-linked versus gas-linked pricing provided a roadmap for mitigating energy price volatility in the Philippines.
Infrastructure feasibility assessment
Evaluation of FSRU versus onshore terminal options identified the most flexible and capital-efficient path for new importers.
Environmental impact analysis
Quantification of CO2 and nitrous oxide reductions supported the alignment of energy policy with Paris Agreement commitments.
Key outcomes
Strategic framework for prioritizing gas-fired power generation to complement variable renewable energy and reduce national carbon intensity.
Client Results
ADI has helped us determine where to focus our activities and how to take advantage of natural gas opportunities, specifically regarding process and refinery catalyst business strategy.
ADI evaluated the commercial viability of replacing heavy oil with LNG for industrial steam production in isolated mining and oil and gas operations. The study established the crude oil price thresholds required for fuel-switching profitability and analyzed the global cost of delivering LNG from multiple supply hubs. Technical assessments included evaluating the potential for carbon […]
ADI quantified the price elasticity of industrial natural gas use, distinguishing between fuel and feedstock applications in the petrochemical and refining sectors. The research highlighted significant operational constraints which limit the short-term capability of plants to switch to alternative fuels. By modeling product price indexing for methanol and ammonia, ADI demonstrated how producers mitigate margin […]
ADI conducted a technical and commercial risk assessment of a proposed waterfront LNG facility, focusing on EPCM strategy and marine integration. The work identified critical FEL-3 gaps, including scope exclusions in storage tank quotes and misalignments between piping layouts and plot plans. Rigorous analysis of the bunkering barge cycle times highlighted operational vulnerabilities related to […]
ADI assessed the market value of natural gas and hydrogen storage assets near the U.S. Gulf Coast through a detailed analysis of regional pipeline interconnects and seasonal spreads. The work evaluated the premium commanded by high-deliverability salt caverns and the technical constraints of repurposing infrastructure for hydrogen. The client Natural gas midstream operator The situation […]
This study benchmarked various monetization options for shale gas, quantifying the oil-to-gas price ratios required to achieve target investment returns. ADI evaluated the competitive positioning of LNG, gas-to-liquids (GTL), and methanol-to-gasoline (MTG) across major North American gas hubs. The analysis highlighted how regional differences in capital intensity and feedstock accessibility vary across the U.S. Gulf […]
To assess market entry potential for modular energy systems, ADI evaluated the deployment of small-scale LNG (ssLNG) and Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) for industrial and transportation applications. The research addressed infrastructure constraints in off-grid regions and evaluated the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of modular gas systems against traditional diesel power. Competitive analysis included a […]
ADI gathered and analyzed commercial data for small-scale LNG and CNG applications across the Bakken, Permian, and Marcellus plays. The research quantified compression costs, liq\uefaction fees, and trucking rates to define current market margins for midstream operators. Strategic implications focused on the infrastructure lag in these plays, creating arbitrage opportunities for mobile fuel delivery to […]
This study evaluated the penetration of small-scale LNG across 15 countries in Central and Eastern Europe, focusing on heavy-duty trucking and marine bunkering. ADI identified critical infrastructure constraints at regasification terminals, such as the lack of break-bulk and truck-loading services, while modeling the fuel-switching economics against high-tax regional diesel. The analysis prioritized regional investments based […]
ADI performed an independent assessment of the technical and economic viability of modular methanol plants in North American shale basins. Research explored the cost arbitrage of converting flared or stranded gas into liquid chemical products across a wide range of feedstock pricing. Analysis identified critical risks in process scale-up and the competitive impact of U.S. […]
To evaluate market positioning for specialty turbomachinery controls, ADI analyzed demand drivers across LNG export terminals, FPSOs, and ethylene crackers. The study assessed the reliability trade-offs between OEM-standard controls and independent anti-surge systems in greenfield versus brownfield projects. Primary research with rotating equipment specialists highlighted factors impacting operational risk during commissioning. The client Private equity […]
ADI Analytics conducted a competitive benchmarking study for a gas processing plant vendor using extensive voice-of-customer research to uncover trends, evaluate competitors, and inform strategic decisions. The client A vendor of gas processing plants seeking to better understand customer perceptions, competitive dynamics, and market trends. The situation The client wanted to assess its competitive positioning […]
ADI Analytics assessed LNG sourcing options and market dynamics to support an oil company’s evaluation of LNG for steam generation within its operations. The client A national oil company evaluating LNG sourcing strategies and deal structures to support internal energy needs. The situation The client sought to understand the cost and strategic implications of using […]
ADI’s analysis evaluates the opportunity for an oil and gas company to enhance its operations by switching its fuel source. The client An oil and gas company that is evaluating a fuel-switching opportunity to power its operations. The situation The company is considering using LNG to produce steam instead of using a third of its […]
The EPA’s recently finalized Renewable Volume Obligations (RVOs) for 2026–2027 raise Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) mandates to record levels, marking a step-change in required blending volumes. This shift increases demand across the system and leaves less buffer between required volumes and available supply, tightening overall market conditions. Key dynamics shaping supply requirements: These dynamics suggest […]
The midstream sector in the first half of 2026 is moving at a breakneck pace, driven by a strategic pivot toward “wellhead-to-water” natural gas liquid (NGL) integration, severe high-horsepower compression supply-chain constraints, and a massive power-generation super-cycle spurred by AI data center expansion. Rather than relying on speculative mega-projects, major pipeline operators are maximizing fee-based […]