ADI prioritized nine CO2-to-value pathways, ranging from carbon mineralization for cement to electrochemical routes for circular fuels. The work assessed the energy intensity and technology readiness of photocatalysis and chemo-enzymatic conversion. Analytical modeling of breakeven costs was conducted to identify the most commercially attractive products in the near-term.
The client
Global investment firm
The situation
Uncertainty over which CO2 conversion technologies offer the best combination of technical feasibility and market materiality.
ADI’s contributions
Technical feasibility screening
Compared pathways using thermodynamic properties, energy intensity (kWh/kg), and single-pass conversion rates.
Market materiality analysis
Quantified the global market size for platform chemicals like methane, methanol, and ethylene produced from CO2.
Startup competitive landscaping
Profiled the positioning of 11 startups and large players like Siemens in the catalytic and biological conversion sectors.
Energy-to-product modeling
Modeled the sensitivity of carbon neutrality to the origin of power resources and optimization of electrochemical processes.
Key outcomes
Prioritization of mineralization and thermochemical pathways for immediate investment based on market size and scalability.
Client Results
We engaged ADI for market studies across various industrial air exchanger niches, from upstream to downstream. Their work helped us gain a thorough understanding of market sizes and competitors.
ADI performed a techno-economic assessment of nine CO2 conversion routes, ranging from mineralization to electrochemical synthesis of platform chemicals. The analysis utilized thermodynamic feasibility and energy-intensity metrics to rank pathways by their ability to compete with conventional fossil-based production. The client Global investment firm The situation Difficulty in prioritizing investments across a fragmented landscape of […]
ADI performed a comprehensive review of vertically integrated spray polyurethane foam (SPF) producers, mapping the MDI and polyol supply chains. The study analyzed feedstock advantages in the U.S. Gulf Coast versus China and evaluated the risk of channel conflict between MDI suppliers and independent system houses. Strategic implications focused on price discipline and end-use diversification […]
ADI assessed the global drag reducing agents (DRA) market, focusing on heavy crude applications and midstream pipeline infrastructure. The analysis mapped the competitive landscape and technological differentiation between suspension and solution-based DRA chemistries. Regional growth was modeled against pipeline utilization and production forecasts for North America and the Middle East. The client Specialty chemical manufacturer […]
ADI provided ongoing market intelligence on catalyst innovations and licensing trends across the petrochemical value chain. The analysis focused on technology scale-up for sustainable aviation fuels (SAF), renewable diesel, and advanced plastics recycling. Strategic risks, including the impact of IMO 2020 on refinery configurations and the growth of crude-to-chemicals (COTC) projects, were evaluated. The client […]
This assessment by ADI evaluated a fixed, wireless sensor network designed for continuous corrosion monitoring across hazardous upstream, refining, and chemical assets. Analytical modeling incorporated scale-driven reductions to project revenue over a 10-year period. The study surfaced trade-offs between system mobility and the high installation costs of competing fiber optic or electrical resistance probes. The […]
ADI evaluated the market for carbon paper gas diffusion layers (GDL) within the rapidly expanding PEM electrolyzer supply chain. The research assessed the technical transition from titanium porous transport layers and modeled the impact of rising current density on future material demand. High and low cases accounted for green hydrogen production targets and announced OEM […]
ADI conducted a technical scan of non-hydroprocessing routes for upgrading biomass-derived pyrolysis oil, focusing on solvent extraction and membrane-based fractionation. The assessment identified high-value chemical pathways for light olefin streams, benchmarking potential products like acrylic acid and lube additives against minimum economic scale (MES) requirements. The client Biomass conversion technology developer The situation Uncertainty regarding […]
ADI evaluated the commercial viability of metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) for arsine removal by analyzing adoption drivers in downstream Oleflex and PDH units. The research highlights the critical trade-offs between MOF performance and the lower costs of sacrificial zinc oxide catalysts. Final recommendations included identifying high-growth license opportunities globally. The client Materials technology developer The situation […]
ADI evaluated over 40 petrochemical value chains to identify target molecules for a global EPC firm’s downstream expansion. The study used a two-tier screening process to analyze market attractiveness versus opportunity index for licensors. Detailed profiles of competitors’ SWOT and business models informed the selection of target molecules like methanol and acrylic acid. The client […]
ADI performed technical and commercial due diligence for an integrated energy and chemicals park, evaluating asset configurations. The valuation involved rigorous DCF modeling of scenarios ranging from lube oil complex rejuvenation to asset shutdowns, factoring in terminal value sensitivities. The assessment specifically addressed market risks associated with Monoethylene Glycol (MEG) oversupply and regional demand recovery […]
On April 7, 2026, the European Commission announced the first official Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) certificate price for Q1 2026 at €75.36 per tonne of CO2 equivalent (~$88/t CO2e), marking the EU’s first explicit carbon price applied to imported goods. This rate will be applied to the embedded emissions in CBAM-covered imports and is […]
Immersion cooling fluids are taking on more importance as data‑center operators deploy higher‑power artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC) systems. Rack densities are increasing faster than traditional air systems can accommodate, and liquid cooling is now part of the design discussion for many new builds and retrofits. In that context, fluid properties affect reliability, […]
Part of ADI Analytics’ ongoing coverage of the implications of the Iran conflict across oil & gas, LNG, refined products, and chemicals. The UAE’s exit from OPEC (see our prior blog) in late April 2026 reflects a decisive shift toward a volume‑driven strategy focused on monetizing its hydrocarbon resource base ahead of the global energy […]