Valuation of integrated energy and chemicals assets
ADI performed technical and commercial due diligence for an integrated energy and chemicals park, evaluating asset configurations. The valuation involved rigorous DCF modeling of scenarios ranging from lube oil complex rejuvenation to asset shutdowns, factoring in terminal value sensitivities. The assessment specifically addressed market risks associated with Monoethylene Glycol (MEG) oversupply and regional demand recovery timelines.
The client
Global investment and holding company
The situation
Assessing the valuation and operational risks of a Southeast Asian refining and chemicals acquisition.
ADI’s contributions
DCF sensitivity modeling
ADI modeled the impact of raising refinery sustaining capital to identify hidden costs.
Yield performance analysis
Plant-specific yields for ethylene oxide (EO), MEG, and styrene were benchmarked against industry standards to validate margin projections.
Feedstock flexibility evaluation
Analysis of historical economic perfornamce confirmed the value of processing heavy liquid feeds such as gas oil and bio-naphtha over pure ethane.
Risk flag identification
The work surfaced “red flags” regarding deteriorating market demand for Group I base oils and polyester integration into MEG.
Key outcomes
Facilitated an informed investment decision by quantifying sensitivity to sustaining capital underinvestment and fluctuating chemical margins.
Client Results
ADI did a wonderful job with our market studies. Their voice of the customer research helped us understand where a new technology might play in the market and ensure we are developing products for a broad market rather than just one customer.
ADI evaluated the global refining and petrochemical spend to determine market entry strategies for specialty maintenance services and equipment. The assessment addressed regional capacity shifts, specifically the transition from European asset closures to massive integrated complexes in Asia and the Middle East. Strategic planning focused on the trade-offs between routine turnaround services and large-scale modernization […]
ADI supported investment due diligence by assessing the market outlook for refinery turnaround (TAR) and maintenance services. Primary research involved interviews with major U.S. Gulf Coast operators to validate job pipelines and post-pandemic labor cost escalations. The work included site-specific unit outage forecasts with regional spending trends and assessing competitive margins. The client Private equity […]
This research quantified the global addressable market for drag reducing agents (DRA) across crude oil, refined product, and heavy oil pipelines. ADI assessed the economic trade-offs between chemical additive injection and infrastructure expansion (looping or pump station upgrades) under varying production scenarios. The study evaluated competitive dynamics among key chemical producers and the operational requirements […]
To quantify addressable opportunities for midstream services, ADI modeled capital and operational expenditures across North American gathering, transportation, distribution and storage assets. The study evaluated infrastructure constraints in the Permian and Appalachian basins, specifically addressing how rising maintenance needs on aging infrastructure offset cyclical volatility in new project FIDs. Proprietary spend curves were applied to […]
ADI modeled the global reciprocating compressor market segmented by speed across the oil and gas value chain. The research addressed the impact of LNG carrier fleets availability and shifting marine fuel regulations on boil-off gas handling. Strategic analysis focused on the recurring revenue potential of aftermarket services. The client Private equity firm The situation High […]
To assess market entry potential for modular energy systems, ADI evaluated the deployment of small-scale LNG (ssLNG) and Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) for industrial and transportation applications. The research addressed infrastructure constraints in off-grid regions and evaluated the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of modular gas systems against traditional diesel power. Competitive analysis included a […]
To evaluate market positioning for specialty turbomachinery controls, ADI analyzed demand drivers across LNG export terminals, FPSOs, and ethylene crackers. The study assessed the reliability trade-offs between OEM-standard controls and independent anti-surge systems in greenfield versus brownfield projects. Primary research with rotating equipment specialists highlighted factors impacting operational risk during commissioning. The client Private equity […]
This evaluation quantified the valuation potential of an African oil holdings by benchmarking global M&A transaction data for oil sands and other development-stage fields. ADI analyzed the economic trade-offs between as-is asset sales and value-added farm-out scenarios involving significant drilling investments over a three-year horizon. The findings addressed infrastructure limitations and contingent resource uncertainty within […]
The U.S. government is spending real money on critical minerals right now. On August 7, 2026, the Department of Energy launched a $100 million program to train more mining engineers. It’s one of several moves happening at the same time, alongside price guarantees, tariffs, and new sourcing rules. None of it changes the basic picture: […]
Part of ADI Analytics’ ongoing coverage of the implications of the Iran conflict across oil & gas, LNG, refined products, and chemicals. Analysts have been quick to predict permanently altered LNG trade flows, structurally different chemical markets, and a new global energy order following the Iran conflict. Several months into the conflict, the evidence points […]
Japan and South Korea are moving from aspirational sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) targets toward blending mandates. In July 2026, Japan announced plans to mandate a 1% SAF blend in fiscal year (FY) 2030, rising to at least 3% in FY2031 and 5% or more from FY2032–34. South Korea announced its phased SAF mandate in 2025, […]
Premium content
Article
