This evaluation quantified the valuation potential of an African oil holdings by benchmarking global M&A transaction data for oil sands and other development-stage fields. ADI analyzed the economic trade-offs between as-is asset sales and value-added farm-out scenarios involving significant drilling investments over a three-year horizon. The findings addressed infrastructure limitations and contingent resource uncertainty within the context of African regional risk premiums.
The client
Private equity firm
The situation
A need to establish defensible valuation estimates for contingent resources to support shareholder investment or farm-out decisions.
ADI’s contributions
Peer transaction benchmarking
Screening of over 1,100 global oil and gas transactions provided a robust dataset of comparable regional and asset-class deals.
Farm-out scenario modeling
Analysis of equity distribution between current shareholders and new investors established clear valuation implications for funding.
Resource-based economics
Commercial valuation included a contingent resource estimate with regional price-per-BOE benchmarks.
Regional risk assessment
Comparisons between African development-stage fields and Canadian oil sands identified appropriate valuation ranges for the asset type.
Key outcomes
Factual basis for negotiating farm-out equity splits and a clear prioritization of high-value acreage for initial drilling.
Client Results
ADI Analytics provided critical, thorough, and perceptive insights on strategic issues at Marathon. An outstanding business partner!
ADI evaluated the global refining and petrochemical spend to determine market entry strategies for specialty maintenance services and equipment. The assessment addressed regional capacity shifts, specifically the transition from European asset closures to massive integrated complexes in Asia and the Middle East. Strategic planning focused on the trade-offs between routine turnaround services and large-scale modernization […]
ADI supported investment due diligence by assessing the market outlook for refinery turnaround (TAR) and maintenance services. Primary research involved interviews with major U.S. Gulf Coast operators to validate job pipelines and post-pandemic labor cost escalations. The work included site-specific unit outage forecasts with regional spending trends and assessing competitive margins. The client Private equity […]
This research quantified the global addressable market for drag reducing agents (DRA) across crude oil, refined product, and heavy oil pipelines. ADI assessed the economic trade-offs between chemical additive injection and infrastructure expansion (looping or pump station upgrades) under varying production scenarios. The study evaluated competitive dynamics among key chemical producers and the operational requirements […]
To quantify addressable opportunities for midstream services, ADI modeled capital and operational expenditures across North American gathering, transportation, distribution and storage assets. The study evaluated infrastructure constraints in the Permian and Appalachian basins, specifically addressing how rising maintenance needs on aging infrastructure offset cyclical volatility in new project FIDs. Proprietary spend curves were applied to […]
ADI modeled the global reciprocating compressor market segmented by speed across the oil and gas value chain. The research addressed the impact of LNG carrier fleets availability and shifting marine fuel regulations on boil-off gas handling. Strategic analysis focused on the recurring revenue potential of aftermarket services. The client Private equity firm The situation High […]
To assess market entry potential for modular energy systems, ADI evaluated the deployment of small-scale LNG (ssLNG) and Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) for industrial and transportation applications. The research addressed infrastructure constraints in off-grid regions and evaluated the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of modular gas systems against traditional diesel power. Competitive analysis included a […]
To evaluate market positioning for specialty turbomachinery controls, ADI analyzed demand drivers across LNG export terminals, FPSOs, and ethylene crackers. The study assessed the reliability trade-offs between OEM-standard controls and independent anti-surge systems in greenfield versus brownfield projects. Primary research with rotating equipment specialists highlighted factors impacting operational risk during commissioning. The client Private equity […]
ADI performed technical and commercial due diligence for an integrated energy and chemicals park, evaluating asset configurations. The valuation involved rigorous DCF modeling of scenarios ranging from lube oil complex rejuvenation to asset shutdowns, factoring in terminal value sensitivities. The assessment specifically addressed market risks associated with Monoethylene Glycol (MEG) oversupply and regional demand recovery […]
In the July 2026 edition, we examine how carbon regulation, portfolio optimization, and emerging technologies are reshaping the chemical industry. The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is increasing cost pressure on emissions-intensive imports and accelerating the shift toward lower-carbon supply chains, while evolving chemical regulations continue to influence compliance and sustainability strategies. Meanwhile, investments, […]
Utility capital projects are facing mounting delays and cost pressures in 2026, even as AI-driven demand fuels record capex. Meanwhile, the upstream oil and gas market is stabilizing around a normalizing shale cost curve, bulk liquid storage operators are shifting toward capability-driven growth, and the energy transition is exposing critical minerals bottlenecks that are pushing […]