Ammonia and CCUS technology market assessment

This study examined the global ammonia (NH3) value chain and CO2​ conversion landscape, evaluating the technical maturity of steam methane reforming (SMR), autothermal reforming (ATR), and electrolysis-based production. ADI analyzed the economics of NH3​ as a hydrogen carrier versus liquid organic hydrogen carriers (LOHCs), including the energy-intensive decomposition steps required for re-conversion. The work profiled emerging CO2​ conversion methods such as catalytic synthesis and mineralization for building materials, identifying high-margin platform molecules.

Private equity firm

An investor needed to understand the commercial maturity and regulatory incentives driving the low-carbon ammonia market.

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ADI benchmarked unit shipping costs across distances and tonnages for NH3​, LH2​, and LOHCs to identify the low-cost leader.

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Analysis identified ethylene oxide and acrylic acid as high-value targets for CO2​ conversion based on projected margins.

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The assessment mapped policy frameworks, including 45Q tax credits and EU ETS, to identify the strongest regional incentives.

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ADI profiled the top 10 ammonia producers and their partnerships with EPCs to reveal successful decarbonization models.

  • Enabled portfolio prioritization by identifying high-margin CO2​ conversion products and the most economical hydrogen carriers.
Client Results
Unlike firms that provide recycled information, ADI delivers targeted data and real customer feedback. They focus exactly on what we care about rather than simply giving us what they think we want to hear.
Riley Hagan CEO, Ethanext

Industry experience

Carbon dioxide conversion pathways assessment

ADI performed a techno-economic assessment of nine CO2 conversion routes, ranging from mineralization to electrochemical synthesis of platform chemicals. The analysis utilized thermodynamic feasibility and energy-intensity metrics to rank pathways by their ability to compete with conventional fossil-based production. The client Global investment firm The situation Difficulty in prioritizing investments across a fragmented landscape of […]

CCUS market and IRA opportunity analysis

ADI Analytics supported a leading compressor manufacturer by analyzing the CCUS market and identifying IRA-driven opportunities to inform its growth and positioning strategy. The client A leading compressor manufacturer exploring opportunities to expand its presence in the emerging CCUS market. The situation The client sought to understand how global CCUS policies, IRA incentives, and market […]

Cryogenic equipment market outlook

This assessment forecasted global demand for cryogenic heat exchangers and pumps across LNG, CCUS, and hydrogen liq\uefaction applications. ADI evaluated the cyclical nature of large-scale LNG capex alongside the rapid scale-up of blue hydrogen projects that rely on cryogenic CO2​ separation. The work assessed the role of high-efficiency coil-wound exchangers and brazed aluminum designs for […]

Direct Air Capture technology and cost assessment

This work evaluated the levelized cost of capture across six Direct Air Capture categories, including liquid solvents (LDAC), solid sorbents (SDAC), and electrochemical systems. ADI analyzed the land and clean electricity requirements for scaling to Gtpa milestones, highlighting the infrastructure bottlenecks and energy-intensity trade-offs of leading configurations. The client Integrated energy company The situation Rapidly […]

Carbon dioxide conversion pathways techno-economic assessment

ADI prioritized nine CO2​-to-value pathways, ranging from carbon mineralization for cement to electrochemical routes for circular fuels. The work assessed the energy intensity and technology readiness of photocatalysis and chemo-enzymatic conversion. Analytical modeling of breakeven costs was conducted to identify the most commercially attractive products in the near-term. The client Global investment firm The situation […]

Global energy transition digital spend outlook

ADI assessed a global energy transition capital spend and outlook through 2050, identifying the addressable market for digital technologies. The study analyzed how the shift toward fragmented, low-carbon infrastructure will impact the need for digital integration across intermittent renewables and energy storage systems. Modeling surfaced critical factors that will dictate the pace of digital adoption. […]

Low-carbon cement technology and start-up landscape

This study assessed 11 early-stage startups and five decarbonization pathways, including CCUS and clinker substitution, to reach net-zero cement by 2050. ADI modeled CO2​ reduction costs, technology readiness, commercial maturity, adoption outlook, and growth potential across North America and Europe. The client Venture capital firm The situation Strategic ambiguity regarding which low-carbon cement technologies to […]

SCR catalyst and competitive landscaping assessment

ADI conducted an independent technical and commercial benchmark of selective catalytic reduction (SCR) catalysts to inform the investment process for a market leader. The study examined differentiated honeycomb geometry versus plate and corrugated designs, specifically focusing on pressure drop and catalytic activity. Additionally, the analysis mapped the integration potential of SCR systems with emerging solid-adsorbent […]

Strategic assessment of IRA incentives for refiners

ADI analyzed the stackable tax credits provided by the Inflation Reduction Act to prioritize decarbonization projects at existing refining assets. The study mapped technical pathways for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), blue hydrogen, and carbon capture against regional infrastructure and environmental justice criteria. This effort identified how loan guarantees and transferability provisions can de-risk capital projects […]

More insights

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CBAM puts a new price tag on emissions

On April 7, 2026, the European Commission announced the first official Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) certificate price for Q1 2026 at €75.36 per tonne of CO2 equivalent (~$88/t CO2e), marking the EU’s first explicit carbon price applied to imported goods. This rate will be applied to the embedded emissions in CBAM-covered imports and is […]

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Cooling fluids are becoming a constraint in AI data centers

Immersion cooling fluids are taking on more importance as data‑center operators deploy higher‑power artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC) systems. Rack densities are increasing faster than traditional air systems can accommodate, and liquid cooling is now part of the design discussion for many new builds and retrofits. In that context, fluid properties affect reliability, […]

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Implications of UAE’s exit from OPEC

Part of ADI Analytics’ ongoing coverage of the implications of the Iran conflict across oil & gas, LNG, refined products, and chemicals. The UAE’s exit from OPEC (see our prior blog) in late April 2026 reflects a decisive shift toward a volume‑driven strategy focused on monetizing its hydrocarbon resource base ahead of the global energy […]