At the 2023 ADI Forum, Uday Turaga, CEO, ADI Analytics, discussed the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) on the energy landscape. Even with aggressive energy transition scenarios, oil and gas would remain a material part of the energy mix by 2050. This would range from 20% in a net-zero scenario to 33% in a rapid transition scenario. This was a decrease from ~60%. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), while supportive of clean energy technologies, was not expected to fundamentally alter this long-term outlook. The IRA offered significant tax credits for renewable power (production and investment tax credits), electric vehicles, and carbon capture (including direct air capture). Crucially, the IRA would have a significant impact on green hydrogen. It was making green hydrogen highly competitive with blue and even gray hydrogen. With projected electrolyzer cost declines, green hydrogen could be significantly cheaper than gray hydrogen by 2025. Moreover, small-scale green hydrogen production was already displacing some of the small-scale liquefaction market.
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